Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children  <– Date –> <– Thread –> 
From: Diana Carroll (dianaecarrollgmail.com)  
Date: Sat, 17 Apr 2021 19:01:13 0700 (PDT) 
You think households with children choose where to live randomly? On Sat, Apr 17, 2021 at 9:39 PM Sharon Villines via CohousingL < cohousingl [at] cohousing.org> wrote: > I worked on the numbers for realistic expectations of households with > children. The upshot is that if you are building 30 units and all other > things are equal, you can’t expect to have more than 6 or so units with > children under 18. And that may be generous. The figures I used are below > and may be totally wrong — please check them before you panic. > > Sharon > > CAUTION: These are rough numbers, hard to find exact comparisons. And I’m > a pictures person not a numbers person so I can mess up things very easily. > Please check these numbers! > > Population as of 2018 (wikipedia) > > 0–17 61,175,933 18.73% > 18–24 43,351,778 13.27% > 25–54 128,863,172 39.45% > 55–64 42,179,856 12.91% > 65+ 51,055,052 15.63% > > One problem with these statistics is that the 2554 includes age range of > 29 years. 5564 only includes a range of 9 years! > > Combining 5564 and 65+ is 93,234,908 people. The expected lifetime is ~80 > so combining these two groups to 5580 would be 25 years for 28.54% of the > population. Since the expected home buyer is expected to be in the 24+ age > group so we can forget the 024 age groups. > > That results in 2 groups of a comparable range of years > > ages 2554 would be 39.45% of the population > ages 5580 would be 28.54% of the population > > If a cohousing community has 30 units, the proportion of units reflecting > these percentages: > > 2554 age group would be 1617 units > 5580 age group would be 1314 units > > The total of all households with children 18 or under living at home is > 40%, but how many of those are in the under 25 age group? I think it is > reasonable to assume that few households headed by adults over age 55 > include children. So we can use the 40% figure but it is probably generous. > > 40% of the 1617 units for the age group of 2554 would be a maximum of > 67 units with children. > > The largest number of people planning to move or downsize for one reason > or another is probably in the over 55 age group and many of those widowed > women. > > > > > _________________________________________________________________ > CohousingL mailing list  Unsubscribe, archives and other info at: > http://L.cohousing.org/info > > > >

Chances of Finding Members with Children Sharon Villines, April 17 2021
 Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Diana Carroll, April 17 2021

Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Sharon Villines, April 18 2021
 Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Diana Carroll, April 18 2021
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