Re: peak oil preparations?
From: normangauss (
Date: Sat, 9 Apr 2005 23:15:09 -0700 (PDT)
Preparing for catastrophe should be based on probabilities derived from
historical data.  If there is no history, then the probabilities can be pure
fantasy.  That is what happened in the Y2K fiasco.  There is also no history
on world-wide oil depletion; again fantasy and speculation is all we have.

On the other hand, if you live in a disaster prone location, (i.e. history
of recent severe earthquakes, or hurricanes, or floods) it is wise to
prepare for the eventuality of catastrophes.  People near earthquake faults,
or low-lying hurricane prone beaches, or river bottoms should plan for the
eventuality of severe "acts of God".  To do otherwise is foolish.

Norm Gauss

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Rob Sandelin" <floriferous [at]>
To: "'Cohousing-L'" <cohousing-l [at]>
Sent: Saturday, April 09, 2005 4:40 PM
Subject: RE: [C-L]_ peak oil preparations?

> Living in a community gives you an opportunity to maximize your ability to
> share with other people. This has huge benefits in any kind of situation.
> One of the wide criticisms of Heinberg is that he is doing worse case
> scenario building, which of course gets press and sells books.  So while
> will not know the future reality, it is certainly just as likely, if not
> probably that the energy scenarios, and social scenarios do not end up as
> bad as he projects.  Creating caring cooperative communities is a positive
> step.
> I have certainly met my share of survivalist types. There was a huge
> resurgence in this over the whole Y2K panic, and there was considerable
> planning by several communities that modern society as we know it will
> all based on detailed analysis of completely erroneous data. Of course we
> all know that outcome. The nitrogen sealed buckets of food have all been
> eaten now and sheepishly forgotten.  The end of the world is an ongoing
> theology. I personally don't run my life around it.
> Having the ability to share resources, talents and caring is a great way
> live, whether society ends or not. The current administration is but a
> on the ongoing evolution of America. This too will pass, perhaps into a
> term thinking conservation based government.
> Rob Sandelin
> Sharingwood Cohousing
> Snohomish Co, WA
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