Chances of Finding Members with Children  <– Date –> <– Thread –> 
From: Sharon Villines (sharonsharonvillines.com)  
Date: Sat, 17 Apr 2021 18:39:35 0700 (PDT) 
I worked on the numbers for realistic expectations of households with children. The upshot is that if you are building 30 units and all other things are equal, you can’t expect to have more than 6 or so units with children under 18. And that may be generous. The figures I used are below and may be totally wrong — please check them before you panic. Sharon CAUTION: These are rough numbers, hard to find exact comparisons. And I’m a pictures person not a numbers person so I can mess up things very easily. Please check these numbers! Population as of 2018 (wikipedia) 0–17 61,175,933 18.73% 18–24 43,351,778 13.27% 25–54 128,863,172 39.45% 55–64 42,179,856 12.91% 65+ 51,055,052 15.63% One problem with these statistics is that the 2554 includes age range of 29 years. 5564 only includes a range of 9 years! Combining 5564 and 65+ is 93,234,908 people. The expected lifetime is ~80 so combining these two groups to 5580 would be 25 years for 28.54% of the population. Since the expected home buyer is expected to be in the 24+ age group so we can forget the 024 age groups. That results in 2 groups of a comparable range of years ages 2554 would be 39.45% of the population ages 5580 would be 28.54% of the population If a cohousing community has 30 units, the proportion of units reflecting these percentages: 2554 age group would be 1617 units 5580 age group would be 1314 units The total of all households with children 18 or under living at home is 40%, but how many of those are in the under 25 age group? I think it is reasonable to assume that few households headed by adults over age 55 include children. So we can use the 40% figure but it is probably generous. 40% of the 1617 units for the age group of 2554 would be a maximum of 67 units with children. The largest number of people planning to move or downsize for one reason or another is probably in the over 55 age group and many of those widowed women.

Chances of Finding Members with Children Sharon Villines, April 17 2021

Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Diana Carroll, April 17 2021

Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Sharon Villines, April 18 2021
 Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Diana Carroll, April 18 2021

Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Sharon Villines, April 18 2021

Re: Chances of Finding Members with Children Diana Carroll, April 17 2021
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